In this episode, John and Seth discuss the early vote in 2024. Who has voted so far? What kind of voters tend to vote early and what kind don’t? What are the consequences of an election “day” that lasts more than a month? Can we learn anything in advance by knowing who is voting now? Some links:
Early voting statistics from the University of Florida’s Election Lab.
Seth’s piece at FiveThirtyEight on how early voting isn’t very predictive of what’s going to happen in November.
Brian Schaffner and Anthony Rentsch say, actually, early voting is pretty predictive.
Here’s a picture from Kanelbullens Dag (Cinnamon Bun Day) in Lund, Sweden:
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